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New Estimates of Prewar Gross National Product and Unemployment

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Author Info
Romer, Christina

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Abstract

The paper examines in detail revised estimates of unemployment and gross national product for the United States before 1929. It first discusses the nature of the revisions to each series and contrasts the assumptions underlying the new data with those underlying the Kuznets GNP series and the Lebergott unemployment rate series. It then examines the business cycle properties of the new prewar estimates. In analyzes the volatility and serial correlation properities of the new macroeconomic series and investigates the Okun's Law relationship between unemployment and GNP, concluding with an evaluation of the assumptions underlying the old and new data.

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File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S0022050700046167
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal The Journal of Economic History.

Volume (Year): 46 (1986)
Issue (Month): 02 (June)
Pages: 341-352
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Handle: RePEc:cup:jechis:v:46:y:1986:i:02:p:341-352_04

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  1. Claudia Goldin, 1994. "Labor Markets in the Twentieth Century," NBER Historical Working Papers 0058, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Barry Eichengreen, 1989. "Trade Deficits in the Long Run," NBER Working Papers 2437, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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