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Long-run Tendencies in Foreign Trade: With a Statistical Study of French Trade Structure 1871–1939

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  • Weiller, Jean Sylvain

Abstract

Economists who have studied the evolution of trade transactions between the two world wars have often stressed the existence of an obvious paradox: despite the disturbances brought about by the war period, the territorial changes, the monetary difficulties and the crises, international trade as a whole and particularly from a structural point of view, had a tendency, after a few years of complete disruption, to return to a pre-war pattern of evolution. Trade flows were returning to a distribution very similar to the one prevailing in 1913, and changes were occurring in the same direction as those of the 1896–1913 period. Certain countries endured great difficulties in the readaptation process, especially the United Kingdom, whose “structural crises†have often been cited. But the very changes that were sources of anxiety for English rulers were less a result of the transformation or the acceleration of pre-war tendencies than of their continuity.

Suggested Citation

  • Weiller, Jean Sylvain, 1971. "Long-run Tendencies in Foreign Trade: With a Statistical Study of French Trade Structure 1871–1939," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 804-821, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jechis:v:31:y:1971:i:04:p:804-821_07
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    Cited by:

    1. Léo CHARLES, 2015. "Evolution of trade patterns and economic performance:the case of France and Switzerland during the nineteenth century," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2015-28, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    2. Stéphane Bécuwe & Bertrand Blancheton & Christopher Meissner, 2015. "France’s international insertion strategy in globalization in the long run perspective 1836-1938," Post-Print hal-02149499, HAL.
    3. Stéphane Becuwe & Bertrand Blancheton & Christopher M Meissner, 2018. "Stages of diversification: France, 1836–1938," European Review of Economic History, European Historical Economics Society, vol. 22(4), pages 430-461.
    4. Stéphane BECUWE & Bertrand BLANCHETON & Léo CHARLES, 2013. "First globalization: Why did France miss the boat?," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2013-17, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    5. Stéphane Bécuwe & Bertrand Blancheton, 2020. "French textile specialisation in long run perspective (1836–1938): trade policy as industrial policy," Business History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(6), pages 891-914, August.
    6. Stéphane BECUWE & Bertrand BLANCHETON & Karine ONFROY, 2015. "French International Trade, dataset 1836-1938 Montesquieu Database," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2015-35, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).

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