IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/jagaec/v33y2001i03p431-443_03.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal Marketing Decisions for Feeder Cattle under Price and Production Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Xuecai
  • Dorfman, Jeffrey H.
  • McKissick, John
  • Turner, Steven C.

Abstract

In many parts of the U.S., beef cattle production is a large sector of the agricultural economy, yet few of the cattle are stockered; instead the production is focused on cow-calf operations only. Restricting their Operation to only the first phase of beef production may be limiting the cattle owners’ profit potential. This paper examines the opportunities for Operators to earn additional profit from stockering cattle. Using a representative risk-averse producer, a decision set with seven possible marketing strategies is evaluated for the optimal decision in a Bayesian framework which allows for price and production risk. We find that in many instances retaining the cattle for stockering is a superior decision when done in conjunction with specific hedging strategies utilizing options and futures contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Xuecai & Dorfman, Jeffrey H. & McKissick, John & Turner, Steven C., 2001. "Optimal Marketing Decisions for Feeder Cattle under Price and Production Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(3), pages 431-443, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:33:y:2001:i:03:p:431-443_03
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1074070800030170/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ethridge, Don E. & Zhang, Ping & Dahl, Bill E. & Ervin, R. Terry & Rushemeza, Justin, 1990. "Cattle Ranching Production And Marketing Strategies Under Combined Price And Weather Risks," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Babcock, Bruce A. & Choi, E. Kwan & Feinerman, Eli, 1993. "Risk And Probability Premiums For Cara Utility Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 1-8, July.
    3. Lence, Sergio H. & Hayes, Dermot J., 1995. "Land Allocation In The Presence Of Estimation Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, July.
    4. James A. Chalfant & Robert N. Collender & Shankar Subramanian, 1990. "The Mean and Variance of the Mean-Variance Decision Rule," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(4), pages 966-974.
    5. Robert N. Collender, 1989. "Estimation Risk in Farm Planning Under Uncertainty," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(4), pages 996-1002.
    6. Lence, Sergio H & Hayes, Dermot J, 1994. "Parameter-Based Decision Making under Estimation Risk: An Application to Futures Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 345-357, March.
    7. Geweke, John, 1988. "Antithetic acceleration of Monte Carlo integration in Bayesian inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1-2), pages 73-89.
    8. Dixon, Bruce L. & Barry, Peter J., 1983. "Portfolio Analysis Considering Estimation Risk And Imperfect Markets," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(2), pages 1-9, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vassalos, Michael & Dillon, Carl R. & Coolong, Timothy, 2013. "Optimal Land Allocation and Production Timing for Fresh Vegetable Growers under Price and Production Uncertainty," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Blank, Steven C. & Saitone, Tina L. & Sexton, Richard J., 2014. "Seller-Offered Forward Contracts: An Additional Benefit to Cattle Producers from Satellite Video Auctions," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162323, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lence, Sergio H. & Hayes, Dermot J., 1995. "Land Allocation In The Presence Of Estimation Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, July.
    2. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes, 1994. "The Empirical Minimum-Variance Hedge," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(1), pages 94-104.
    3. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur & Dorfman, Jeffrey H. & Turner, Steven C., 2004. "A Bayesian Approach to Optimal Cross-Hedging of Cottonseed Products Using Soybean Complex Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-16, August.
    4. Lien, Gudbrand & Hardaker, J. Brian & Asseldonk, Marcel A.P.M. van & Richardson, James W., 2009. "Risk programming and sparse data: how to get more reliable results," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 101(1-2), pages 42-48, June.
    5. Gudbrand Lien & J. Hardaker & Marcel Asseldonk & James Richardson, 2011. "Risk programming analysis with imperfect information," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 190(1), pages 311-323, October.
    6. Wei Shi & Scott H. Irwin, 2005. "Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(4), pages 918-930.
    7. Pautsch, Gregory R. & Babcock, Bruce A. & Breidt, F. Jay, 1999. "Optimal Information Acquisition Under A Geostatistical Model," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-25, December.
    8. Gregory R. Pautsch & Bruce A. Babcock & F. Jay Breidt, 1998. "Optimal Sampling Under a Geostatistical Model," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 98-wp200, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    9. James A. Chalfant & Richard S. Gray & Kenneth J. White, 1991. "Evaluating Prior Beliefs in a Demand System: The Case of Meat Demand in Canada," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(2), pages 476-490.
    10. Cranfield, John A.L. & Preckel, Paul V. & Liu, Songquan, 1997. "Approximating Bayesian Posteriors using Multivariate Gaussian Quadrature," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35791, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Miao, Ruiqing & Hennessy, David A. & Feng, Hongli, 2016. "The Effects of Crop Insurance Subsidies and Sodsaver on Land-Use Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), May.
    12. Popp, Michael P. & Faminow, Merle D. & Parsch, Lucas D., 1998. "Adoption Of Backgrounding On Cow-Calf Farms," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20800, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    13. Merlone, Ugo & Lupano, Matteo, 2022. "Third party funding: The minimum claim value," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(2), pages 738-747.
    14. Kim, Jae-Gyeong, 1993. "Futures markets in an open economy," ISU General Staff Papers 1993010108000011461, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. David J. Pannell & Getu Hailu & Alfons Weersink & Amanda Burt, 2008. "More reasons why farmers have so little interest in futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 41-50, July.
    16. Carrasco, Marine & Florens, Jean-Pierre, 2011. "A Spectral Method For Deconvolving A Density," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 546-581, June.
    17. Esposito, Federico, 2022. "Demand risk and diversification through international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    18. Boussard, Jean-Marc, 1996. "When risk generates chaos," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 433-446, May.
    19. Steel, Mark F. J., 1991. "A Bayesian analysis of simultaneous equation models by combining recursive analytical and numerical approaches," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1-2), pages 83-117.
    20. Laura Mørch Andersen, 2014. "Obtaining Reliable Likelihood Ratio Tests from Simulated Likelihood Functions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(10), pages 1-12, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:33:y:2001:i:03:p:431-443_03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/aae .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.