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On The Asymptotic Distribution Of Impulse Response Functions With Long-Run Restrictions

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Author Info
Vlaar, Peter J.G.

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Abstract

This paper adopts a two-step technique to estimate structural vector error correction models and provides the asymptotic distribution of the impulse response functions of such a system. The method combines two popular tools in econometrics, namely, vector autoregressive cointegration analysis in the first step and structural vector autoregression analysis in the second. The proposed structural model structure is very general in the sense that all just-identifying or overidentifying schemes that can be expressed as linear restrictions on either the contemporaneous or long-run impact of the structural shocks are allowed for. The long-run restrictions complicate the derivation of the asymptotic distribution of the structural parameter estimates as these restrictions are a function of the reduced form parameters. Consequently, the asymptotic distribution involves an extra partial derivative.Useful comments by Peter Boswijk, G nter Coenen, Neil Ericsson, S ren Johansen, Klaus Neusser, Franz Palm, Paolo Paruolo, Peter van Els, Anders Warne, and ESEM 1998 participants are gratefully acknowledged. The paper also significantly benefited from suggestions by the co-editor Pentti Saikkonen and two anonymous referees.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Econometric Theory.

Volume (Year): 20 (2004)
Issue (Month): 05 (October)
Pages: 891-903
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Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:20:y:2004:i:05:p:891-903_20

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  1. Gert Wehinger, 2000. "Causes of Inflation in Europe, the United States and Japan: Some Lessons for Maintaining Price Stability in the EMU from a Structural VAR Approach," Empirica, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 83-107, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Luz Adriana Flórez & Carlos Esteban Posada & José Fernando Escobar, 2004. "El Crédito Y Sus Factores Determinantes: El Caso Colombiano (1990-2004)," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002482, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Jan J. J. Groen, 2004. "Corporate credit, stock price inflation and economic fluctuations," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(18), pages 1995-2006, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Carlo Monticelli & Oreste Tristani, 1999. "What does the single monetary policy do? A SVAR benchmark for the European Central Bank," Working Paper Series 2, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  5. José Fernando Escobar R. & Carlos Esteban Posada P., . "Dinero, Precios, Tasa de Interés y Actividad Económica: Un Modelo del Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  6. Helene Schuberth, 1998. "Room for Manoeuvre of Economic Policy in EU-Countries are there costs of joining EMU?," Working Papers 35, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
  7. Schumacher, Christian, 2000. "Forecasting Trend Output in the Euro Area," Discussion Paper Series 26245, Hamburg Institute of International Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. José Fernando Escobar R. & Carlos Estaban Posada, 2004. "Dinero, Precios, Tasa De Interés Y Actividad Económica: Un Modelo Del Caso Colombiano (1984:I-2003:Iv)," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002366, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  9. Günter Coenen & Juan-Luis Vega, 1999. "The demand for M3 in the euro area," Working Paper Series 6, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Kirstin Hubrich & Peter J. G. Vlaar, 2000. "Germany and the Euro Area: Differences in the Transmission Process of Monetary Policy," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1802, Econometric Society, revised 08 Nov 2000. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Matteo M. Iacoviello, 2000. "House prices and the macroeconomy in Europe: results from a structural VAR analysis," Working Paper Series 18, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jan Kakes & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2001. "Monetary policy and bank lending. Evidence from German banking groups," MEB Series (discontinued) 2001-1, Netherlands Central Bank, Monetary and Economic Policy Department. [Downloadable!]
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  13. P.J.G. Vlaar, 2002. "Shocking the Eurozone," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 696, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  14. P.J.G. Vlaar & H. Schuberth, 1999. "Monetary Transmission and Controllability of Money in Europe: aStructural Vector Error Correction Approach," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 36, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. Annick Bruggeman & Marie Donnay, 2003. "A monthly monetary model with banking intermediation for the euro area," Working Paper Series 264, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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