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Effects of ups and downs of the Mongolian mining sector

Author

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  • Baatarzorig, Tsolmon
  • Galindev, Ragchaasuren
  • Maisonnave, Hélène

Abstract

The economy of Mongolia, a country rich in natural resources, is increasingly dependent upon the mining sector. International prices of mining commodities have been highly volatile in recent years. This paper uses a computable general equilibrium model to examine the short-term effects on the Mongolian economy of two scenarios: (1) a moderate boom in the coal market; and (2) a drop in the world price of metal ores. It is found that the Dutch disease effect generated by the shocks is insignificant given the structure of the economy (e.g., small export shares and low export intensity of manufacturing and agriculture commodities) and a labor market condition with high unemployment. Since the economy is largely dependent upon on the mining sector, the impacts of the shocks are jarring, implying that the government must abide by its fiscal rules for stable growth and prosperity.

Suggested Citation

  • Baatarzorig, Tsolmon & Galindev, Ragchaasuren & Maisonnave, Hélène, 2018. "Effects of ups and downs of the Mongolian mining sector," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 527-542, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:endeec:v:23:y:2018:i:05:p:527-542_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Batdelger, Tuvshintugs & Zagdbazar, Manlaibaatar, 2022. "Does mining improve rural livelihood?: Evidence from Mongolia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Narantungalag, Odmaa, 2022. "The effects of natural resource extraction on household expenditure patterns: Evidence from Mongolia," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1077, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Odmaa Narantungalag,, 2022. "The effects of natural resource extraction on household expenditure patterns: Evidence from Mongolia," Discussion Papers 2204, School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand.
    4. Sri Utami Ady, 2021. "The Effect of World Oil Prices, Gold Prices, and Other Energy Prices on the Indonesian Mining Sector with Exchange Rate of Indonesian Rupiah as the Moderating Effect," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 369-376.
    5. Zandariya, Bayanmunkh, 2022. "Improving the policy framework for financial assurance for mine closure in Mongolia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Cockburn, John & Henseler, Martin & Maisonnave, Hélène & Tiberti, Luca, 2018. "Vulnerability and policy responses in the face of natural resource discoveries and climate change: introduction," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 517-526, October.
    7. Syed Hasan & Odmaa Narantungalag, & Martin Berka, 2022. "No pain, no gain? Mining pollution and morbidity," Discussion Papers 2203, School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand.
    8. Dzyuba, Yu. & Bakalova, I., 2023. "CGE models for resource-based economy: A comprehensive bibliometric analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 12-50.
    9. Ragchaasuren Galindev & Tsolmon Baatarzorig & Nyambaatar Batbayar & Delgermaa Begz & Unurjargal Davaa & Oyunzul Tserendorj, 2019. "Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on the Mongolian Economy," Working Papers MPIA 2019-20, PEP-MPIA.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium

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