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Modeling China Inflation Persistence

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  • Chengsi Zhang

    (School of Finance, Renmin University of China)

  • Joel Clovis

    (School of Economics, and INTO, University of East Anglia)

Abstract

This paper employs the recently developed structural stability tests with unknown break point and two median unbiased estimation methods to model China inflation persistence over the most recent quarter of a century. Our empirical results suggest that the persistence of both consumer price inflation and retail price inflation has witnessed declines over the most recent period of low inflation, with the reduction in consumer price inflation being more pronounced. The reduced inflation persistence helps to explain the remarkable phenomenon of high economic growth under the low inflation environment in China during the recent decade.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Society for AEF in its journal Annals of Economics and Finance.

Volume (Year): 10 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (May)
Pages: 89-110

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Handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2009:v:10:i:1:p:89-110

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Keywords: Inflation; Inflation persistence; Structural break; Monetary policy;

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Cited by:
  1. Zhang, Chengsi, 2011. "Inflation persistence, inflation expectations, and monetary policy in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 622-629, January.
  2. Koivu, Tuuli, 2012. "Monetary policy, asset prices and consumption in China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 307-325.
  3. J. James Reade & Ulrich Volz, 2011. "From the General to the Specific," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham 11-18, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.

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