Population Projections 2005-2050 - Ageing of the Population in Mainland France
AbstractGenerally accepted assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration suggest that between 61 and 79 million people will live in mainland France in 2050. In the baseline scenario, which supposes that recent demographic trends will continue, 70 million people will live in France in 2050, i.e. 9.3 million more than in 2005. As the population ages, the number of deaths will increase and will exceed the number of births around 2045. Introducing the migration balance of 100,000 net entries per year into the projection would compensate for the natural deficit. In 2050, nearly one inhabitant in three will be over 60, compared with one in five in 2005. The proportions of young people and working-age people will decrease. On 1st January 2050, France will then have seven inhabitants aged 60 or over for every ten inhabitants aged between 20 and 59: this ratio will have almost doubled in 45 years.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques in its journal Economie et Statistique.
Volume (Year): 408-409 (2008)
Issue (Month): (May)
Population Projections; Fertility Trends; Mortality Trends; Ageing;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
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