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Quantifying the Effects of the Provincial Nominee Programs

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  • Manish Pandey
  • James Townsend

Abstract

To encourage more even dispersion of economic immigrants throughout Canada, the federal and various provincial governments have developed the Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs). In this paper, we provide an overview of these programs and assess their impact on the flow of immigrants to smaller provinces, which have struggled to attract and retain skilled newcomers. We find, after controlling for provincial economic conditions, that the Nominee Programs of Manitoba, Prince Edward Island, and New Brunswick were associated with significant increases in immigration flows to these provinces. We also find that one-year retentions rates of immigrants did not decrease for any province after the introduction of the PNPs. In fact, retention rates for immigrants through Nominee Programs were higher in most provinces than for economic class immigrants arriving through the federal programs. We conclude that PNPs were effective as a means of both attracting and retaining immigrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Manish Pandey & James Townsend, 2011. "Quantifying the Effects of the Provincial Nominee Programs," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 37(4), pages 495-512, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:37:y:2011:i:4:p:495-512
    DOI: 10.3138/cpp.37.4.495
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    Cited by:

    1. Neeraj Kaushal & Yao Lu & Nicole Denier & Julia Shu-Huah Wang & Stephen J. Trejo, 2016. "Immigrant employment and earnings growth in Canada and the USA: evidence from longitudinal data," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 1249-1277, October.
    2. Mike Shannon, 2015. "Canadian migration destinations of recent immigrants and interprovincial migrants: similarities, differences and explanations," IZA Journal of Migration and Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-32, December.
    3. Parvinder Hira-Friesen, 2018. "Immigrants and Precarious Work in Canada: Trends, 2006–2012," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 35-57, February.
    4. Don Drummond & Evan Capeluck & Matthew Calver, 2015. "The Key Challenge for Canadian Public Policy: Generating Inclusive and Sustainable Economic Growth," CSLS Research Reports 2015-11, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.
    5. Ferrer, Ana M. & Picot, Garnett & Riddell, W. Craig, 2012. "New Directions in Immigration Policy: Canada’s Evolving Approach to Immigration Selection," CLSSRN working papers clsrn_admin-2012-34, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 30 Nov 2012.
    6. Aneta Bonikowska & Feng Hou & Garnett Picot, 2017. "New Immigrants Seeking New Places: The Role of Policy Changes in the Regional Distribution of New Immigrants to Canada," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1), pages 174-190, March.
    7. Laura Serlenga & Yongcheol Shin, 2021. "Gravity models of interprovincial migration flows in Canada with hierarchical multifactor structure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 365-390, January.

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