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Estimating Export Response in Canadian Provinces to the Canada-US Softwood Lumber Agreement

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Author Info
Sumeet Gulati
Nisha Malhotra

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Abstract

We estimate the degree of trade diversion from provinces named under the Softwood Lumber Agreement (SLA) to provinces not named. Our regression results indicate that the SLA had a significant impact on the exports of non-named SLA provinces. Controlling for other factors, the SLA by itself would have increased exports from these provinces four times. The corresponding effect for the provinces named in the SLA is estimated at minus 5 percent. This decrease is not, however, statistically significant.

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File URL: http://economics.ca/cgi/jab?journal=cpp&view=v32n2/CPPv32n2p157.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Toronto Press in its journal Canadian Public Policy.

Volume (Year): 32 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 157-172
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Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:32:y:2006:i:2:p:157-172

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  1. McCallum, John, 1995. "National Borders Matter: Canada-U.S. Regional Trade Patterns," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 615-23, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-10-2.

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