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Ciclos políticos y agregados macroeconómicos: Un análisis para el caso colombiano (1970-2005)

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  • López González, Mauricio
  • Rodríguez V., Amalia

Abstract

Resumen: la teoría de los ciclos políticos ha evolucionado considerablemente en las últimas décadas, al tiempo que los trabajos aplicados intentan predecir con mayor exactitud el efecto de las decisiones tomadas por los policymakers sobre los agregados económicos. Este trabajo intenta evaluar en forma empírica, para el caso colombiano en el período comprendido entre 1970-2005, algunos de los postulados propuestos por la teoría. Los resultados obtenidos permiten verificar la existencia de ciclos políticoeconómicos oportunistas para el producto, el desempleo y el déficit fiscal, y partidistas en cuanto al manejo que han realizado los partidos políticos tradicionales frente a la inflación y el desempleo.

Suggested Citation

  • López González, Mauricio & Rodríguez V., Amalia, 2008. "Ciclos políticos y agregados macroeconómicos: Un análisis para el caso colombiano (1970-2005)," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000165:007031
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    File URL: http://aprendeenlinea.udea.edu.co/revistas/index.php/coyuntura/article/view/2346/1917
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ciclo político de los negocios; ciclo político oportunista; ciclo político partidista; brecha del PIB;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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