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Sostenibilidad de la Cuenta Corriente del Valle del Cauca: una aproximación desde la econometría

Author

Listed:
  • Julio Cesar Alonso C.
  • Esperanza Rincón Montes

Abstract

Este documento evalúa la sostenibilidad de la cuenta corriente del Valle del Cauca siguiendo el método bivarial propuesto por Husted (1992. Para ello se probó que las importaciones y las exportaciones anuales del departamento (como porcentaje del PIB del Valle y en términos per cápita) para el periodo comprendido entre 1960 y 2000, son series con orden de integración 1, y se emplearon las pruebas de cointegración de Engel y Granger, de Johansen y no paramétrica de Breitung (2002) para determinar la existencia de cointegración entre estas. Se concluye que al no estar cointegradas las series de las importaciones y exportaciones del Valle del Cauca, y existir la posibilidad de que el déficit externo regional crezca ilimitadamente como proporción de la actividad económica, la cuenta corriente para el Valle del Cauca no es sotenible.

Suggested Citation

  • Julio Cesar Alonso C. & Esperanza Rincón Montes, 2005. "Sostenibilidad de la Cuenta Corriente del Valle del Cauca: una aproximación desde la econometría," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000156:003889
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Javier Alejandro Vera Vargas & Werner Kristjanpoller Rodríguez, 2017. "Granger causality between exports, economic growth and electricity production: empirical evidence for Latin America," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 86, pages 25-62, Enero - J.
    2. Vera Vargas, Javier Alejandro & Kristjanpoller Rodríguez, Werner, 2016. "Causalidad de Granger entre composición de las exportaciones, crecimiento económico y producción de energía eléctrica: evidencia empírica para Latinoamérica," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 86, pages 25-62, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cuenta Corriente; Sostenibilidad; Valle del Cauca; Cointegración.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • R19 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Other
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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