Does High Unemployment Rate Result in a High Divorce Rate?: A Test for Japan
AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to examine if the increase in the unemployment rate has any effect on the divorce rate. We use time series data and cross section data for the whole of Japan in order to examine this assertion. We also include crime rate and average working hours as explanatory variables. We conducted cointegration analysis to avoid spurious correlation for the time series data. We apply OLS for the time series and cross section data. The results suggest a positive correlation between the unemployment rate and the divorce rate. We also confirm that the influence of unemployment over divorce is immediate. ** El objetivo de este artículo es determinar si el incremento en la tasa de desempleo tiene algún efecto sobre la tasa de divorcios. Con este fin se utilizan series de tiempo y datos de corte transversal para Japón. También se incluyen la tasa de crímenes y el promedio de las horas trabajadas como variables explicativas. Adicionalmente se efectúa análisis de cointegración con el fin de evitar relaciones espúreas entre las series de tiempo. Los resultados sugieren que existe una correlación positiva entre la tasa de desempleo y la tasa de divorcios. También confirmamos que existe una relación cronológica cercana entre el desempleo y el divorcio.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO in its journal REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO.
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