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The Anticipated Sectoral Adjustment to the Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement: An Event Study Analysis

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Author Info
Aileen J. Thompson
Abstract

In this paper, a stock market event study is employed to investigate investors' expectations about the consequences of the Canada-U. S. Free Trade Agreement for manufacturing industries in Canada. The author finds that industry-level abnormal returns corresponding to only one event, reaching the agreement in October 1987, are jointly significant and consistent with prior hypotheses about the impact of the agreement. Although only a few of these abnormal returns are statistically significant, all of them have the anticipated signs and some are quite large, suggesting substantial profits and losses during the adjustment to free trade.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Canadian Economics Association in its journal Canadian Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 26 (1993)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 253-71
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Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:26:y:1993:i:2:p:253-71

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  1. Caroline L. Freund & John McLaren, 1999. "On the dynamics of trade diversion: evidence from four trade blocs," International Finance Discussion Papers 637, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  2. Kara M. Reynolds, 2005. "Anticipated versus Realized Benefits: Can Event Studies Be Used To Predict the Impact of New Regulations?," International Trade 0512005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Baggs, Jennifer & Brander, James A., 2005. "Libéralisation des échanges, rentabilité et levier financier," Direction des études analytiques : documents de recherche 2005256f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques. [Downloadable!]
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