The Composition and Cyclical Behavior of Trade Flows in Emerging Economies
AbstractThe composition and cyclical properties of imports are similar in developed economies and emerging economies (EM) but this is not the case for exports. Unlike developed economies, (i) EM export few or only a selective set of capital goods and (ii) capital good and overall exports tend to be acyclical. The lack of procyclicality in exports helps to explain the strong countercyclicality of EM trade balances observed in previous studies. A quantitative exercise demonstrates how the standard small open economy business cycle model could be improved upon by incorporating some of these features.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by CEPII research center in its journal International Economics/Economie Internationale.
Volume (Year): (2012)
Issue (Month): 132 ()
International Real Business Cycles; Small Open Economy; Emerging Economy; Trade Balance;
Other versions of this item:
- Reinout De Bock, 2010. "The Composition and Cyclical Behavior of Trade Flows in Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 10/46, International Monetary Fund.
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
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- Reinout De Bock, 2011. "The Cost of Volatile Investment in an Emerging Economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1696-1705.
- Reinout De Bock & Alexander Demyanets, 2012. "Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets: Determinants and Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 12/71, International Monetary Fund.
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