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Uncertainty among German Companies Grows Significantly

Author

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  • Christian Grimme
  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

Uncertainty among German companies about future economic developments has grown significantly recently. The ifo Dispersion Measure, which is calculated on a monthly basis as part of the ifo Business Survey and measures insecurity, rose by 6.2 points between May and September. This was mainly due to growing uncertainty among manufacturers and service providers.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2018. "Uncertainty among German Companies Grows Significantly," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(20), pages 51-52, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:20:p:51-52
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2018-20-grimme-wollmershaeuser-unsicherheit-2018-10-25.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
    2. Grimme, Christian, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance," MPRA Paper 79852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Leduc, Sylvain & Liu, Zheng, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 20-35.
    4. Christian Grimme, 2017. "Measurement of Corporate Uncertainty in Germany – the ifo Dispersion Measure," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 19-25, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    2. Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2019. "Equipment Investment Growth Slows - Less Momentum in Leasing Business," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(01), pages 66-69, January.
    3. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Radek Šauer &, 2018. "ifo Economic Forecast Winter 2018: Germany’s Economy Cools Down," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(24), pages 28-82, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

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