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Aktive Arbeitsmarktpolitik und Wahltermine

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  • Mario Mechtel
  • Niklas Potrafke

    ()

Abstract

Zahlreiche Studien haben gezeigt, dass Wähler ihre Zustimmung oder Ablehnung zur amtierenden Regierung entscheidend davon abhängig machen, wie sie deren Leistung in Bezug auf die Arbeitsmarktsituation einschätzen. Regierungen haben aus diesem Grund einen Anreiz, Arbeitslosigkeit insbesondere vor Wahlen zu reduzieren, um an Popularität zu gewinnen und ihre Wiederwahlchancen zu vergrößern. Ein möglicher Weg für Regierungen, dieses Ziel zu erreichen, ist – wie in einer aktuellen Studie, die auf Daten für die westdeutschen Bundesländer über den Zeitraum von 1985 bis 2004 basiert, gezeigt wird – die Einführung von Maßnahmen der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik, um die offiziellen Arbeitslosenzahlen rechtzeitig vor dem Urnengang zu senken.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 65 (2012)
Issue (Month): 16 (08)
Pages: 35-37

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:65:y:2012:i:16:p:35-37

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Keywords: Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Wahl; Wahlkampf; Deutschland;

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References

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  1. Alesina, Alberto, 1987. "Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-Party System as a Repeated Game," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 102(3), pages 651-78, August.
  2. Mechtel, Mario & Potrafke, Niklas, 2013. "Electoral cycles in active labor market policies," Munich Reprints in Economics 19249, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  3. J. Kluve & H. Lehmann & C. M. Schmidt, 2007. "Disentangling Treatment Effects of Active Labor Market Policies: The Role of Labor Force Status Sequences," Working Papers 620, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  4. Mueller,Dennis C., 2003. "Public Choice III," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521894753.
  5. Rogoff, Kenneth & Sibert, Anne, 1988. "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 1-16, January.
  6. Fertig, Michael & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schneider, Hilmar, 2006. "Active labor market policy in Germany--Is there a successful policy strategy?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 399-430, May.
  7. Nordhaus, William D, 1975. "The Political Business Cycle," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 169-90, April.
  8. Alesina, Alberto, 1987. "Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-party System as a Repeated Game," Scholarly Articles 4552531, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  9. Rafael Lalive & JanC. vanOurs & Josef Zweimüller, 2008. "The Impact of Active Labour Market Programmes on The Duration of Unemployment in Switzerland," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(525), pages 235-257, 01.
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