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Mittelfristige Perspektiven für den Nichtwohnungsbau in Deutschland

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  • Erich Langmantel
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    Abstract

    Der Rückgang der Nichtwohnungsbauinvestitionen in den vergangenen zehn Jahren ist eine Folge der Anpassung des Bautenbestandes an das sich abschwächende gesamtwirtschaftliche Wachstum. Damit es zu einer Trendwende hin zu wieder steigenden Investitionen kommt, müsste sich - nach einer ökonometrischen Schätzung - die durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate des realen BIP für den Rest des Jahrzehnts an 2% annähern.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2003/ifosd_2003_12_2.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 12 (06)
    Pages: 10-13

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:12:p:10-13

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    Related research

    Keywords: Bauwirtschaft; Branchenentwicklung; Deutschland;

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    References

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    1. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
    2. Kwiatkowski, D. & Phillips, P.C.B. & Schmidt, P., 1990. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of Unit Root : How Sure are we that Economic Time Series have a Unit Root?," Papers 8905, Michigan State - Econometrics and Economic Theory.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:
    1. Volker Rußig, 2003. "Bauwirtschaft in Europa: Erst mittelfristig wieder steigende Produktion," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 15-21, 09.
    2. Erich Langmantel, 2005. "Anlageinvestitionen: Anteil Ostdeutschlands stagniert," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(11), pages 12-15, 06.
    3. Erich Langmantel, 2004. "Investitionen: Aufholprozess in den neuen Bundesländern vorerst zu Ende," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(07), pages 37-40, 04.
    4. Gert G. Wagner, 2003. "Pauschalprämien setzen das Konzept der Bürgerversicherung am besten um," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 3-6, 09.

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