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Mittelfristige Perspektiven für den Nichtwohnungsbau in Deutschland


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  • Erich Langmantel
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    Der Rückgang der Nichtwohnungsbauinvestitionen in den vergangenen zehn Jahren ist eine Folge der Anpassung des Bautenbestandes an das sich abschwächende gesamtwirtschaftliche Wachstum. Damit es zu einer Trendwende hin zu wieder steigenden Investitionen kommt, müsste sich - nach einer ökonometrischen Schätzung - die durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate des realen BIP für den Rest des Jahrzehnts an 2% annähern.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 12 (06)
    Pages: 10-13

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:12:p:10-13

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    Keywords: Bauwirtschaft; Branchenentwicklung; Deutschland;

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    1. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    2. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1991. "A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 91-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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    Cited by:
    1. Volker Rußig, 2003. "Bauwirtschaft in Europa: Erst mittelfristig wieder steigende Produktion," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 15-21, 09.
    2. Erich Langmantel, 2005. "Anlageinvestitionen: Anteil Ostdeutschlands stagniert," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(11), pages 12-15, 06.
    3. Erich Langmantel, 2004. "Investitionen: Aufholprozess in den neuen Bundesländern vorerst zu Ende," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(07), pages 37-40, 04.
    4. Gert G. Wagner, 2003. "Pauschalprämien setzen das Konzept der Bürgerversicherung am besten um," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(17), pages 3-6, 09.


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