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Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Herbst 2002

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  • Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute
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    Abstract

    Am 22. Oktober stellten die sechs Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Sie kamen zu der Ansicht, dass sich die Weltwirtschaft derzeit in einer fragilen Lage befindet. Die Unsicherheit über den Fortgang der Konjunktur hat sich unter dem Eindruck des Irak-Konfliktes, des damit verbundenen Anstiegs der Ölpreise und des Kurssturzes an den Aktienmärkten deutlich erhöht. In den USA flachte die Expansion seit dem Frühjahr wieder ab, und auch in den ostasiatischen Schwellenländern hat sich der zuvor kräftige Produktionsanstieg zuletzt verringert. Im Euroraum hat sich die Konjunktur zwar erholt, jedoch bleibt die Dynamik gering. In Japan schließlich nahm das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt nur verhalten zu.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2002/ifosd_2002_20_1.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 20 (October)
    Pages: 3-50

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:20:p:3-50

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    Keywords: Weltkonjunktur; Welt; Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Wirtschaftslage; Deutschland;

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    Cited by:
    1. Frank Westermann, 2003. "Zur Kreditklemme: Ein Vergleich zwischen Japan und Deutschland," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(01), pages 33-37, 01.
    2. Wolff, Joachim, 2004. "The Duration of New Job Matches in East and West Germany," Discussion Papers in Economics 360, University of Munich, Department of Economics.

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