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Portugal: Geht der Anschluss verloren?

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  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    Abstract

    In Portugal hat der Aufholprozess gegenüber dem Durchschnitt der EU-Länder 2001 keine weiteren Fortschritte gemacht, das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt nahm mit 1,8% nur geringfügig stärker zu als der EU-Mittelwert. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrte im Jahresdurchschnitt bei 4,1%. Die Teuerungsrate erreichte 4,4%. 2002 wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt voraussichtlich nur um 1% expandieren. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verschlechtert sich die Situation. Die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt auf knapp 5% steigen, die Konsumentenpreise um gut 3¼% über dem Niveau des Vorjahres liegen. 2003 wird sich das BIP um knapp 2% erhöhen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird sich auf rund 5½% ausweiten und die Preise das Niveau von 2002 um knapp 3% übersteigen.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2002/ifosd_2002_12_5.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 12 (06)
    Pages: 26-34

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:12:p:26-34

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    Keywords: Konjunktur; Wirtschafslage; Sozialprodukt; Portugal;

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