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Auch Leasing ist nicht immun gegen die Konjunkturschwäche - Investitionsindikator gibt jedoch Anlass zu vorsichtigem Optimismus

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  • Joachim Gürtler
  • Arno Städtler

Abstract

Die Erwartungen der am ifo Konjunkturtest Leasing teilnehmenden Unternehmen können einen entscheidenden Beitrag zu Prognosen der Entwicklung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Ausrüstungsinvestitionen liefern. Nach den Ergebnissen des aktuellen Tests in der Leasingbranche scheint sich zur Jahresmitte 2001 das Wachstum der Investitionsausgaben in der deutschen Wirtschaft nicht mehr weiter zu verlangsamen. In den ersten drei Quartalen 2001 dürften danach die Investitionen in neue Ausrüstungen zwischen 41/2 und 5% zunehmen. Dies korrespondiert gut mit der jüngsten Prognose des ifo Instituts für das Gesamtjahr (+ 4,5%). Insgesamt werden die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Ausrüstungsinvestitionen 2001 damit wohl nur etwa halb so stark wachsen wie im letzten Jahr.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 54 (2001)
Issue (Month): 16 (October)
Pages: 22-24

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:16:p:22-24

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Related research

Keywords: Leasing; Branchenkonjunktur; Deutschland;

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References

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  1. Arno Städtler, 2000. "Leasing in Deutschland: Breitengeschäft wächst weiter - Großmobilien durch Steuerrechtsänderungen gebremst," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(35-36), pages 27-34, 01.
  2. Joachim Gürtler & Erich Langmantel & Arno Städtler, 2001. "Investitionsprognosen der Leasinggesellschaften mit hoher Treffsicherheit - Ein neuer Indikator für die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(10), pages 20-24, October.
  3. Erich Langmantel, 1999. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima als Indikator für die Prognose des Bruttoinlandsprodukts," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 52(16-17), pages 16-21, October.
  4. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2001. "Die Weltkonjunktur und die deutsche Wirtschaft," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(13), pages 18-28, 09.
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Cited by:
  1. Reinhard Hild & Gernot Nerb & Volker Rußig & Uwe Chr. Täger, 2001. "ifo Branchendialog 2001: Sektoral differenzierte Branchenperspektiven bis 2003," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(22), pages 22-31, December.
  2. Joachim Gürtler & Arno Städtler, 2001. "Investitionsschwäche bremst Wachstum der Leasingbranche - Geschäftsklima auf Tiefststand," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(23), pages 41-43, December.

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