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Deutschlandprognose 2013/2014: Aufschwung voraus

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion in Deutschland wird im Jahr 2014 beschleunigt expandieren. Das weltwirtschaftliche Umfeld bessert sich, die binnenwirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen sind weiter günstig. Die konjunkturelle Expansion wird von der Binnenwirtschaft getragen. Im Jahresdurchschnitt 2014 wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt, bei einem Unsicherheitsintervall ( 2/3 Wahrscheinlichkeit) von 0,8 % bis 3,0 %, um 1,9 % steigen. Der Preisanstieg auf der Verbraucherstufe wird 1,5 % betragen. Der gesamtstaatliche Budgetüberschuss in Relation zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte bei 0,3 % liegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2014. "Deutschlandprognose 2013/2014: Aufschwung voraus," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(01), pages 03-10, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:21:y:2014:i:01:p:03-10
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    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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