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Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2011/2012: Inlandsnachfrage stützt den Aufschwung

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Author Info

  • Stefan Arent
  • Michael Kloß
  • Robert Lehmann

    ()

Abstract

Der konjunkturelle Aufschwung auf gesamtdeutscher Ebene hat sich im Winterhalbjahr 2010/2011 mit hohem Tempo fortgesetzt. Auch in Ostdeutschland haben die konjunkturellen Auftriebskräfte die Oberhand gewonnen. Nach der aktuellen Konjunkturprognose des IFO INSTITUTS dürfte das preisbereinigte Brutto inlandsprodukt in Ostdeutschland (einschließlich Berlin) um 2,9 % in diesem bzw. 1,9% im kommenden Jahr steigen. Im Freistaat Sachsen dürfte das Wirtschaftswachstum in beiden Jahren noch etwas stärker ausfallen. Die Lage am ostdeutschen bzw. sächsischen Arbeitsmarkt entspannt sich dabei weiter, sodass die Zahl der erwerbstätigen Personen voraussichtlich um 0,8 % bzw. 0,9% steigen wird.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Dresden_berichtet/zs-drber-2011/zs-drber-2011-4/ifodb_2011_4_12_21.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 18 (2011)
Issue (Month): 04 (08)
Pages: 12-21

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:18:y:2011:i:04:p:12-21

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Related research

Keywords: Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Sachsen; Neue Bundesländer;

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References

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  1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Deutschlandprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung kommt langsamer voran," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(04), pages 3-11, 08.
  2. Joachim Ragnitz, 2011. "Auf dem Weg zur Vollbeschäftigung: Implikationen der demographischen Entwicklung für den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(02), pages 03-06, 04.
  3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Vierteljährliche VGR für Sachsen: Ergebnisse für das erste Quartal 2011," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(04), pages 33-34, 08.
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Cited by:
  1. Wenzel, Lars, 2013. "Forecasting regional growth in Germany: A panel approach using business survey data," HWWI Research Papers 133, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
  2. Wenzel, Lars & Wolf, André, 2013. "Short-term forecasting with business surveys: Evidence for German IHK data at federal state level," HWWI Research Papers 140, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).

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