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Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2008/2009 : Abschwung und Rezession

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Author Info
Joachim Ragnitz ()
Beate Schirwitz ()
Gerit Vogt

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Abstract

Der globale Abschwung hat in den letzten Monaten auch die Wirtschaft der ostdeutschen Bundesländer massiv erfasst. Während das Bruttoinlandsprodukt Ostdeutschlands im ersten Halbjahr 2008 noch um gut zwei Prozent gestiegen ist, dürfte das Wirtschaftswachstum in der zweiten Jahreshälfte nahezu zum Erliegen gekommen sein. In diesem Jahr ist mit einer drastischen Verschlechterung der Wirtschaftslage zu rechnen. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt Ostdeutschlands (mit Berlin) wird 2009 voraussichtlich um 1,9% zurückgehen. Für das Bruttoinlandsprodukt Sachsens wird eine Schrumpfung um 2,1% prognostiziert. Die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt in beiden Regionen um rund 1% abnehmen.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 16 (2009)
Issue (Month): 01 (07)
Pages: 3-11
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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:16:y:2009:i:01:p:3-11

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Related research
Keywords: Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Sachsen; Neue Bundesländer;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
O10 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.