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Das Außenhandelspotenzial in der erweiterten Europäischen Union

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  • Michaela Fuchs
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

    ()

Abstract

Der Beitrag stellt die Außenhandelsbeziehungen zwischen den 15 alten und den acht neuen mittel- und osteuropäischen Mitgliedern der Europäischen Union in den Mittelpunkt. Werden sie durch die EU-Osterweiterung zusätzliche Impulse erhalten? Diese Frage wird im Folgenden mit Hilfe des Gravitationsmodells, einem ökonometrischen Ansatz zur Erklärung der Höhe und der regionalen Struktur der Handelsströme, analysiert. Im Vordergrund stehen dabei die möglichen positiven Auswirkungen auf den Außenhandel aus der Anpassung des institutionellen Umfeldes in den neuen Mitgliedsländern an den Acquis Communautaire. Aufbauend auf den Schätzergebnissen werden zudem die Implikationen für den Außenhandel Deutschlands wie auch speziell Sachsens dargestellt.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 13 (2006)
Issue (Month): 05 (October)
Pages: 13-23

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:13:y:2006:i:05:p:13-23

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Keywords: Europäische Integration; Gravitationsmodell; Außenhandel; Institutionalismus; EU-Staaten;

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References

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  1. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, 1999. "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker Than Others?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 114(1), pages 83-116, February.
  2. Fritz Breuss & Peter Egger, 1999. "How Reliable Are Estimations of East-West Trade Potentials Based on Cross-Section Gravity Analyses?," Empirica, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 81-94, June.
  3. Simon J. Evenett & Wolfgang Keller, 1998. "On Theories Explaining the Success of the Gravity Equation," NBER Working Papers 6529, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  7. Henri L.F. de Groot & Gert-Jan Linders & Piet Rietveld & Uma Subramanian, 2003. "The Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Patterns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-044/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 30 Oct 2003.
  8. Babetskaia-Kukharchuk, Oxana & Maurel, Mathilde, 2004. "Russia's accession to the WTO: the potential for trade increase," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 680-699, December.
  9. Gros, Daniel & Gonciarz, Andrzej, 1996. "A note on the trade potential of Central and Eastern Europe," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 709-721, December.
  10. Carsten Pohl, 2005. "Institutionelle Entwicklung in der Europäischen Union : holen die mittel- und osteuropäischen Länder auf?," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(05), pages 27-30, October.
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Cited by:
  1. Udo Broll & Frank Fuchs & Jack E. Wahl, 2007. "Fakturierung im Außenhandel," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(03), pages 23-28, 06.
  2. Udo Broll & Andreas Förster & Stephan Rudolph, 2010. "Die Handelskosten von Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(06), pages 17-22, December.

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