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Entwicklung von Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen und Ostdeutschland 2004/2005

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Author Info

  • Michael Berlemann
  • Beate Grundig
  • Gerit Vogt

Abstract

Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland wird im Jahresdurchschnitt 2005 um 1,2 % steigen, nach Ausschaltung von Kalenderschwankungen sogar um 1,4 %. Die Investitionen werden wieder steigen, auch der private Konsum dürfte sich beleben. Die Exporte bleiben angesichts des immer noch günstigen internationalen Umfelds weiterhin eine wichtige Stütze der Konjunktur; ihr Anstiegstempo wird sich aber verringern. Die Arbeitsmarktsituation wird jedoch desolat bleiben; in der Spitze wird die Arbeitslosenzahl bei Einrechnung der Hartz-IV-Reform sogar auf 5,1 Mill. klettern.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Dresden_berichtet/zs-drber-2005/ifodb_2005_1_03-13.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 12 (2005)
Issue (Month): 01 (02)
Pages: 3-13

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:01:p:3-13

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Related research

Keywords: Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Arbeitsmarkt; Sachsen; Neue Bundesländer;

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References

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  1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Meister & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2002. "Aktivierende Sozialhilfe - Ein Weg zu mehr Beschäftigung und Wachstum," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(09), pages 03-52, 05.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
  2. Gerit Vogt, 2010. "Zur Güte der ifo Dresden Konjunkturprognosen," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(01), pages 28-32, 02.

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