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Perspektiven 2003/2004: deutsche Konjunktur belebt sich wieder

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich seit drei Jahren in der Flaute. Im 1. Halbjahr 2003 ging die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion sogar leicht zurück und die Beschäftigung nahm weiter ab. Seit der Jahresmitte gibt es jedoch erste Anzeichen einer Besserung: die Vertrauensindikatoren der Unternehmen weisen eindeutig nach oben. Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion wird im Durchschnitt des Jahres 2003 stagnieren und im kommenden Jahr um 1,7% zunehmen. Zu diesem Anstieg trägt allerdings eine im Vergleich zu 2003 deutlich höhere Zahl von Arbeitstagen bei.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2003. "Perspektiven 2003/2004: deutsche Konjunktur belebt sich wieder," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 10(06), pages 6-11, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:10:y:2003:i:06:p:6-11
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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