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Deutsche Wirtschaft hat Talsohle durchschritten

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  • Max Eli

Abstract

Anfang 1994 kann noch nicht von einem konjunkturellen Aufschwung der deutschen Wirtschaft gesprochen werden. Dieser wird zur Jahresmitte 1994 erwartet. Die konjunkturelle Talsohle wurde mit Hilfe steigender Nachfrage im privaten Verbrauch und im Ausland überwunden. 1994 wird es zu einem geringem gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstum von 1,5 Prozent kommen. In Westdeutschland beträgt das Wirtschaftswachstum 1994 knapp 1 %. Dort liegt die Arbeitslosenquote bei 8 %. Für Ostdeutschland wird ein Wirtschaftswachstum von rund 7 % erwartet, das allerdings von Transferzahlungen und Subventionen abhängig ist. Die nominal verfügbaren Einkommen werden dort 1994 um 3 % expandieren, die real verfügbaren Einkommen allerdings werden sinken. In den neuen Bundesländern bleibt die Arbeitslosigkeit das größte Problem. Für 1994 wird eine Arbeitslosenquote von 15,8 % erwartet.

Suggested Citation

  • Max Eli, 1994. "Deutsche Wirtschaft hat Talsohle durchschritten," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 1(01), pages 05-06, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:01:y:1994:i:01:p:05-06
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