Croissance française à l'horizon 2000 : haut niveau de chômage ou réduction de la durée du travail ?
Abstract[eng] French economic growth by the end of the century: high unemployment or reduction in weekly hours of work? Eric Confais, GÃ©rard Cornilleau, Alain Gubian, Catherine Mathieu By the end of the century, the French economy would succeed in maintaining both a low inflation rate and balanced external accounts. However, the average annual growth rate of the French economy, lower than 3%, would not allow a decrease in the unemployed, under the hypotheses of the increases in the labour force. A substantial decrease in unemployment could be obtained if a significant cut in the number of weekly hours of work took place, though. This cut should be implemented under very restrictive conditions: partial wage reductions and reorganization of firms' production. [fre] D'ici l'an 2000, dans un environnement international moyennement porteur, la France conforterait ses principaux atouts, inflation modÃ©rÃ©e et Ã©quilibre extÃ©rieur, mais ne parviendrait pas Ã enrayer la progression du chÃ´mage. Le taux de croissance moyen, infÃ©rieur Ã 3%, serait en effet trop faible, au regard des hypothÃ¨ses d'augmentation de la population active. Une diminution importante du chÃ´mage, sans dÃ©gradation de l'Ã©quilibre macroÃ©conomique, pourrait cependant Ãªtre obtenue par une rÃ©duction significative de la durÃ©e hebdomadaire du travail qui interviendrait sous certaines conditions assez restrictives : compensation salariale trÃ¨s partielle ; rÃ©organisation de la production dans les entreprises.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.
Volume (Year): n° 44 (1993)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm
Other versions of this item:
- Gérard Cornilleau & Alain Gubian & Catherine Mathieu & Eric Confais, 1993. "Croissance française à l'horizon 2000 : haut niveau de chômage ou réduction de la durée du travail ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(1), pages 109-154.
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