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Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)

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  • Mathieu Plane

Abstract

Open to all private companies, the CICE is equal to 6% of payroll, excluding employer contributions, for wages between 1 and 2.5 SMIC. Representing 20 billion, its funding will be based half on reduction on public expenditures and half on increase of taxes (a reform of VAT from 1 January 2014 and strengthening of environmental taxation). The CICE would lower of 2.6% the labour cost of the private economy with differences by sector: a reduction of the labour cost of 3 % in the construction, 2.8 % in the industry and 2.4 % in the market services. According to our evaluation, conducted using the model e-mod.fr, the CICE is expected to create five years after its inception, about 150 000 jobs by lowering the unemployment rate by 0.6 points and generate an increase of 0.1 % of GDP in 2018. JEL : C53, E17, E62, J38, L52

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.

Volume (Year): N° 126 (2012)
Issue (Month): 7 ()
Pages: 141-153

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Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_126_0141

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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm

Related research

Keywords: competitiveness; employment; growth; labour cost; tax credit;

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Cited by:
  1. Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Impact des allègements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/eo6779thqgm, Sciences Po.
  2. FitzGerald, John & Znuderl, Nusa & CASE (Poland) & CPB (Netherlands) & DIW Berlin (Germany) & ETLA (Finland) & The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Germany) & NIESR (United Kingdom) & OFCE (Franc, 2013. "Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2012/13 Report," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number SUSTAT47.

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