Évaluation de l'impact économique du crédit d'impôt pour la compétitivité et l'emploi (CICE)
AbstractOpen to all private companies, the CICE is equal to 6% of payroll, excluding employer contributions, for wages between 1 and 2.5 SMIC. Representing 20 billion, its funding will be based half on reduction on public expenditures and half on increase of taxes (a reform of VAT from 1 January 2014 and strengthening of environmental taxation). The CICE would lower of 2.6% the labour cost of the private economy with differences by sector: a reduction of the labour cost of 3 % in the construction, 2.8 % in the industry and 2.4 % in the market services. According to our evaluation, conducted using the model e-mod.fr, the CICE is expected to create five years after its inception, about 150 000 jobs by lowering the unemployment rate by 0.6 points and generate an increase of 0.1 % of GDP in 2018. JEL : C53, E17, E62, J38, L52
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.
Volume (Year): N° 126 (2012)
Issue (Month): 7 ()
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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm
competitiveness; employment; growth; labour cost; tax credit;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
- J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
- L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods
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- Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Impact des allègements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/eo6779thqgm, Sciences Po.
- FitzGerald, John & Znuderl, Nusa & CASE (Poland) & CPB (Netherlands) & DIW Berlin (Germany) & ETLA (Finland) & The Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Germany) & NIESR (United Kingdom) & OFCE (Franc, 2013. "Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2012/13 Report," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number SUSTAT47.
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