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Le modèle France de l'OFCE. La nouvelle version : e-mod.fr

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  • Valérie Chauvin
  • Gaël Dupont
  • Éric Heyer
  • Mathieu Plane
  • Xavier Timbeau

Abstract

Since 1984, the OFCE has developed a quarterly macroeconometric model for the French economy, which has been used both for budget policy analyses and short and medium term forecasts. This model evolved, along with current theoretic and econometric advances. It was simplified and estimated with the national accounts data. Mosaïque has become e-mod.fr (economic-model.France). This model assumes the French economy reacts in a neo-keynesian way : as producing factors are not fully used, the global demand determines supply in the short run. Then, the production level influences prices and thus demand behaviour. Behavioural equations are resituated in the context of current research, insisting on government. We describe as well how we solved some practical problems every modeller meets : estimation methods, long run properties, autocorrelation.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.

Volume (Year): 81 (2002)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 245-300

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Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_081_0245

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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm

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  1. Lawrence F. Katz & Olivier Blanchard, 1999. "Wage Dynamics: Reconciling Theory and Evidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 69-74, May.
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  10. Valérie Chauvin & Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 1999. "Mosaïque révélé : recueil de variantes et de simulations du modèle Mosaïque," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1644, Sciences Po.
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Cited by:
  1. Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 1996. "Immobilier et politique monétaire," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1753, Sciences Po.
  2. Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Impact des allègements de cotisations patronales des bas salaires sur l'emploi. L'apport des modèles macroéconomiques," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/eo6779thqgm, Sciences Po.
  3. Eric Heyer, 2011. "The effectiveness of economic policy and position in the cycle The case of tax reductions on overtime in France," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2011-09, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
  4. Eric Heyer & Mathieu Plane, 2012. "Quelles conséquences économiques d'un coup de pouce au smic," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/53r60a8s3ku, Sciences Po.
  5. Eric Heyer, 2010. "Efficacité de la politique économique et position dans le cycle: le cas de la défiscalisation des heures supplémentaires en France," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2010-26, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
  6. Anne-Gisèle Privat, 2005. "L'avenir des retraites en France: Evalutation de l'impact des réformes de 1993 et de 2033 à l'aide du modèle de microsimulation Artémis," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1u, Sciences Po.

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