Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Vers un élargissement sélectif de l'Union européenne. Dix pays - deux cercles


Author Info

  • Luis Miotti
  • Nicolas Meunier
  • Béatrice Auzouy
  • Fadhel Lakhoua
  • Nathalie Ricoeur-Nicolaï


[fre] Parmi les dix pays de l'Est candidats à l'adhésion à l'Union européenne, seuls cinq ont été retenus : Hongrie, Pologne, République tchèque, Slovénie et Estonie. L'analyse des données, à partir de critères quantitatifs approchant les décisions qualitatives exprimées, permet d'« objectiver » le choix de la Commission. Une première série d'ACM (analyse factorielle des composantes multiples) conclut à la pertinence objective du choix de la Commission. Une seconde série d'analyses montre, en revanche, que la sélection s'est opérée essentiellement non sur la capacité actuelle d'intégration viable des différentes économies mais sur leur potentiel. Cet a priori peut devenir auto-réalisateur pour les pays retenus (dynamique de financement favorable), comme pour les pays exclus - Bulgarie, Roumanie, Slovaquie, Lettonie et Lituanie (limitation des sources de financement et accroissement de l'écart avec les premiers). [eng] Of the ten applicants for European Union membership from central/eastern Europe, only five have been accepted: the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovenia. We use data analysis methods on quantitative criteria reflecting the qualitative decisions to "objectivate" the Commission's choices. Beginning with a multivariate analysis, we conclude that the choice was appropriate in objective terms. Our second series of analyses, however, shows that the main decision-making criterion was not the countries present capacity to achieve viable integration into the EU, but rather their potential ability to do so. This ex ante criterion can become self-fulfilling for both the accepted and the rejected countries: the accepted countries may find it easier to obtain financing, while the rejected countries - Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, and Slovakia - may face a re­striction in their access to finance and a widening gap with the accepted countries.

(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL:
Download Restriction: free

File URL:
Download Restriction: free

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue économique.

Volume (Year): n° 50 (1999)
Issue (Month): 6 ()
Pages: 1101-1122

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_p1999_50n6_1101

Contact details of provider:
Web page:

Related research


Other versions of this item:


No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.


Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Claude LACOUR (IERSO, IFReDE-GRES) & Stéphane VIROL (IERSO, IFReDE-GRES), 2005. "European regional policy: new bases, new borders? (In French)," Cahiers du GRES 2005-21, Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales.


This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.


Access and download statistics


When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_p1999_50n6_1101. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.