Risque politique et croissance en Afrique
Abstract[fre] On propose un modÃ¨le thÃ©orique simple dans lequel l'activitÃ© de rÃ©bellion de l'opposition est une fonction croissante des activitÃ©s de prÃ©dation et de rÃ©pression du gouvernement, et une fonction dÃ©croissante de ses activitÃ©s de redistribution. Ces prÃ©dictions sont testÃ©es sur des donnÃ©es nationales africaines, au moyen d'un modÃ¨le probit, et ne sont pas rejetÃ©es. On montre enfin que le risque politiÂque, entendu comme la probabilitÃ© de violence politique, a un effet nÃ©gatif sur la croissance Ã©conomique. [eng] A simple analytical model is presented where the rebellion activity of the politiÂcal opponent is an increasing function of the prÃ©dation and repression activity of the government, and a decreasing function of its redistribution activity. These preÂdictions are tested on national African data, using a probit model, and are not rejected. Lastly it is shown that political risk, measured by the probability of politiÂcal violence erupting, has a negative impact on economic growth.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue économique.
Volume (Year): n° 47 (1996)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economique.htm
Other versions of this item:
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Azam, Jean-Paul & Mesnard, Alice, 2003.
" Civil War and the Social Contract,"
Springer, vol. 115(3-4), pages 455-75, June.
- Azam, Jean-Paul, 2003.
"The Paradox of Power Reconsidered: A Theory of Political Regimes in Africa,"
IDEI Working Papers
233, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, revised 2005.
- Jean-Paul Azam, 2006. "The Paradox of Power Reconsidered: A Theory of Political Regimes in Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 15(1), pages 26-58, March.
- Hadhek Zouhaier & Kefi Mohamed Karim, 2012. "Democracy, Investment and Economic Growth," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(3), pages 233-240.
- Mehlum,H. & Moene,K.O. & Torvik,R., 1999.
"Crime induced poverty traps,"
35/1999, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
- Mallaye, Douzounet, 2009.
"Reformes Monétaires Et Croissance Économique En Zone Cemac
[Monetary Reforms And Economic Growth In Cemac Zone]," MPRA Paper 19621, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Frédéric PUECH, 2002. "DÃ©penses publiques d’Ã©ducation et instabilitÃ© politique : une application Ã la zone franc par un modÃ¨le d’Equilibre GÃ©nÃ©ral Calculable," Working Papers 200219, CERDI.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire).
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.