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Risque politique et croissance en Afrique

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  • Stéphane Calipel
  • Jean-Paul Azam
  • Jean-Claude Berthélemy

Abstract

On propose un modèle théorique simple dans lequel l'activité de rébellion de l'opposition est une fonction croissante des activités de prédation et de répression du gouvernement, et une fonction décroissante de ses activités de redistribution. Ces prédictions sont testées sur des données nationales africaines, au moyen d'un modèle probit, et ne sont pas rejetées. On montre enfin que le risque politique, entendu comme la probabilité de violence politique, a un effet négatif sur la croissance économique.

(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue économique.

Volume (Year): n° 47 (1996)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 819-829

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Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_p1996_47n3_0819

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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economique.htm

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Cited by:
  1. Azam, Jean-Paul & Mesnard, Alice, 2003. " Civil War and the Social Contract," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 115(3-4), pages 455-75, June.
  2. Hadhek Zouhaier & Kefi Mohamed Karim, 2012. "Democracy, Investment and Economic Growth," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(3), pages 233-240.
  3. Mehlum,H. & Moene,K.O. & Torvik,R., 1999. "Crime induced poverty traps," Memorandum 35/1999, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  4. Frédéric PUECH, 2002. "Dépenses publiques d’éducation et instabilité politique : une application à la zone franc par un modèle d’Equilibre Général Calculable," Working Papers 200219, CERDI.
  5. Mallaye, Douzounet, 2009. "Reformes Monétaires Et Croissance Économique En Zone Cemac
    [Monetary Reforms And Economic Growth In Cemac Zone]
    ," MPRA Paper 19621, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Azam, Jean-Paul, 2003. "The Paradox of Power Reconsidered: A Theory of Political Regimes in Africa," IDEI Working Papers 233, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, revised 2005.

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