Régimes de croissance pour les Etats-Unis, 1890-1991
Abstract[eng] Growth regimes for the U.S., 1890-1991 . . This paper discusses the existence of several growth regimes for the U.S. since 1890. Three possible models are presented : a Solow type model with deterministic technical change an AK type model and model with stochastic technical change On can show that these models are restrictions on the parameters of an error correction model The estimation of the latter and of cointegration relations gives the preference to the model with stochastic technical change However the parameter values are different before 1929 and after 1951 [fre] L'article Ã©tudie l'existence de diffÃ©rents rÃ©gimes de croissance pour l'Ã©conoÂmie des Ãtats-Unis depuis 1890. Trois modÃ¨les sont envisagÃ©s : un modÃ¨le de type Solow Ã progrÃ¨s technique dÃ©terministe, un modÃ¨le AK, et un modÃ¨le Ã proÂgrÃ¨s technique stochastique. L'auteur montre que ces trois modÃ¨les peuvent Ãªtre prÃ©sentÃ©s comme diffÃ©rentes restrictions sur les paramÃ¨tres d'un modÃ¨le Ã corÂrection d'erreurs. L'estimation de ce dernier et des relations de cointÃ©gration corÂrespondantes donne la prÃ©fÃ©rence au modÃ¨le Ã progrÃ¨s technique stochastique, mais on conclut Ã l'existence de deux rÃ©gimes diffÃ©rents : l'un avant 1929, l'autre aprÃ¨s 1951.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue économique.
Volume (Year): n° 46 (1995)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economique.htm
Other versions of this item:
- Michel Juillard, 1995. "Régimes de croissance pour les Etats-Unis, 1890-1991," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(3), pages 847-856.
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