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North-South technology diffusion, regional integration, and the dynamics of the “natural trading partners” hypothesis

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  • Maurice Schiff
  • Yanling Wang

Abstract

Based on static analysis, a number of studies argue that forming a regional trade agreement (RTA) is more likely to raise welfare if member countries are ?natural trading partners,? while other studies claim the opposite. This paper considers the argument from a dynamic viewpoint by examining the impact of trade with Japan, North America and the EU on technology diffusion and total factor productivity (TFP) in Jordan, Korea and Mexico. Using industry-level data, we show that: i) technology diffusion and productivity gains tend to be regional: Jordan, Korea, and Mexico tend to benefit mainly from trade with the EU, Japan, and North America respectively; and ii) the dynamic version of the ?natural trading partners? hypothesis seems to hold. JEL Classification: F02, F13, F15, F43, O39

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by De Boeck Université in its journal Revue d'économie du développement.

Volume (Year): 21 (2007)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Pages: 69-84

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Handle: RePEc:cai:edddbu:edd_215_0069

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Keywords: North-South technology diffusion; productivity; regional integration; natural trading partners; Korea; Mexico;

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  1. Bruno Van Pottelsberghe & Frank Lichtenberg, 1998. "International R&D spillovers comment," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6233, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  2. Schiff, Maurice, 2001. "Will the Real “Natural Trading Partner” Please Stand Up?," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 16, pages 245-261.
  3. Wolfgang Keller, 1996. "Are International R&D Spillovers Trade-related? Analyzing Spillovers among Randomly Matched Trade Partners," International Trade 9608002, EconWPA.
  4. Michaely, Michael, 1998. "Partners to a preferential trade agreement: Implications of varying size," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 73-85, October.
  5. Lumenga-Neso, Olivier & Olarreaga, Marcelo & Schiff, Maurice, 2001. "On 'Indirect' Trade-Related R&D Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 2871, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Eaton, Jonathan & Kortum, Samuel, 1999. "International Technology Diffusion: Theory and Measurement," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 40(3), pages 537-70, August.
  7. Coe, David T & Helpman, Elhanan, 1993. "International R&D Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 840, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  8. Lawrence H. Summers, 1991. "Regionalism and the world trading system," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 295-301.
  9. Schiff, Maurice & Wang, Yanling & Olarreaga, Marcelo, 2002. "Trade-related technology diffusion and the dynamics of North-South and South-South integration," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2861, The World Bank.
  10. Pravin Krishna, 2003. "Are Regional Trading Partners "Natural"?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(1), pages 202-231, February.
  11. Panagariya, A., 1997. "Preferential trading and the myth of natural trading partners," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 471-489, December.
  12. David T. Coe & Alexander W. Hoffmaister, 1999. "Are There International R&D Spillovers Among Randomly Matched Trade Partners?- A Response to Keller," IMF Working Papers 99/18, International Monetary Fund.
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Cited by:
  1. Behar, Alberto & Criville, Laia Cirera i, 2011. "Does it matter who you sign with ? comparing the impacts of north-south and south-south trade agreements on bilateral trade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5626, The World Bank.

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