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Le projet d'Union Monétaire dans le Mercosur :Etude de la position actuelle dans les pays par rapport à une carte de critères de soutenabilité

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  • Céline Gimet
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    Abstract

    Les crises financières récentes ont fragilisé les économies du Mercosur. Pour juger de leur évolution depuis 2001, cet article étudie la position actuelle de ces pays par rapport à une nouvelle carte de critères de soutenabilité venant en complément de la théorie des zones monétaires optimales, en y intégrant une nouvelle dimension financière et régionale. La méthode multicritère d'aide à la décision, transposée à l'échelle macroéconomique et financière, permet ainsi de souligner les efforts entrepris par un noyau de pays dans la perspective de la mise en place d'une union monétaire. / The Mercosur countries have been weakened by the recent financial crises. In order to evaluate their evolution since 2001, this article studies the current countries position with regard to a new set of sustainability criteria, which complete the optimum currency area theory in including a new financial and regional dimension. The multicriteria decision aid method, transposed onto the macroeconomic and financial scale, shows the real efforts that are made by a core of countries in order to adopt a monetary union.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles in its journal Brussels economic review.

    Volume (Year): 50 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 249-273

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    Handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/80317

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    Keywords: Analyse multicritère/Multicriteria analysis; Critères régionaux bancaires et financiers; Crises de change/Exchange rate crises; Contagion financière fondamentale/Fundamental financial contagion; Pays du Mercosur/Mercosur countries; Union monétaire/Monetary union;

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    1. Kaminsky, Graciela L. & Reinhart, Carmen M., 2000. "On crises, contagion, and confusion," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 145-168, June.
    2. Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2002. "ìNew" Views on the Optimum Currency Area Theory: What is EMU Telling US?," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 140, Royal Economic Society.
    3. Sebastian Edwards, 2006. "Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance: A Latin American Perspective," NBER Working Papers 12229, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Van Rijckeghem, Caroline & Weder, Beatrice, 2001. "Sources of contagion: is it finance or trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 293-308, August.
    5. Garry J. Schinasi & R. Todd Smith, 2000. "Portfolio Diversification, Leverage, and Financial Contagion," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 47(2), pages 1.
    6. Ranil Salgado & Luca Antonio Ricci & Francesco Caramazza, 2000. "Trade and Financial Contagion in Currency Crises," IMF Working Papers 00/55, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Sebastian Edwards, 2006. "Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance," Working Papers 126, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
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    Cited by:
    1. Andrea Bonilla Bolanos, 2012. "External vulnerabilities and economic integration. Is the Union of South American Nations a promising project?," Working Papers 1238, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS), Université Lyon 2, Ecole Normale Supérieure.

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