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Efficiency in Betting Markets: Evidence from English Football

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Author Info
Bruno Deschamps
Olivier Gergaud

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Abstract

We analyze the efficiency of English football betting markets between 2002 and 2006. We find evidence of a positive favourite-longshot bias for both home odds and away odds. Draw odds are instead characterized by a negative longshot bias. We also identify a draw bias in the sense that betting at draw odds yields a higher return than betting at home or away odds. Finally, we investigate betting strategies that exploit the variance of odds between bookmakers.

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File URL: http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/ubpl/jpm/2007/00000001/00000001/art00005
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Buckingham Press in its journal Journal of Prediction Markets.

Volume (Year): 1 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 61-73
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Handle: RePEc:buc:jpredm:v:1:y:2007:i:1:p:61-73

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Web: http://www.predictionmarketjournal.com/index_files/Page418.htm

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Recreation; Tourism

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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