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A Model for Estiamting the Probabilities of Soccer Game Results

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Author Info

  • Nissim Ben-David

    (Department of Economics and Finance, Emek Yezreel Academic College)

Abstract

In this paper, using Israeli soccer tournament results from 2009/2010 and an ordered dependent estimation model I calculated for each team, in each game played during the season, the a priori probability of a win, loss or a tie as a function of lag performance. Given these probabilities, the average probability that each team would end a game with a win, loss or a tie can be calculated.

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File URL: http://www.ubplj.org/index.php/jgbe/article/view/559
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by University of Buckingham Press in its journal Journal of Gambling Business and Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 13-19

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Handle: RePEc:buc:jgbeco:v:4:y:2010:i:3:p:13-19

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Related research

Keywords: Soccer game; gambling;

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