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Asymmetric Effects of Oil Prices on the Manufacturing Sector in Turkey

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  • Torul Orhan

    (University of Maryland)

  • Alper C. Emre

    (Bogazici University)

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between oil prices and manufacturing sector of a small open economy, Turkey. We take into account exogeneity of oil prices, extreme oil-reliance and import-dependence, as well as asymmetric responses of oil product prices to world crude oil price changes. We also control for the global liquidity and domestic finance conditions, along with real exchange rate dynamics in our VAR estimations. We report that while oil price increases do not significantly affect the manufacturing sector in aggregate terms, some sub-sectors are adversely affected.

Suggested Citation

  • Torul Orhan & Alper C. Emre, 2010. "Asymmetric Effects of Oil Prices on the Manufacturing Sector in Turkey," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 90-105, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:6:y:2010:i:1:n:4
    DOI: 10.2202/1475-3693.1269
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    3. Nagmi M. Moftah Aimer, 2016. "Crude Oil Prices and Economic Development in Libya," Energy Economics Letters, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(3), pages 30-41, September.
    4. Uğur Akkoç & Anıl Akçağlayan & Gamze Kargın Akkoç, 2021. "The impacts of oil price shocks in Turkey: sectoral evidence from the FAVAR approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1147-1171, November.
    5. Mert URAL, 2016. "Modelling Crude Oil Price Volatility and the Effects of Global Financial Crisis," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 24(29).
    6. Quintero Otero, Jorge David, 2020. "Not all sectors are alike: Differential impacts of shocks in oil prices on the sectors of the Colombian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    7. Nagmi M. Moftah Aimer, 2016. "The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on the Economic Sectors of Libya," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 6(12), pages 13-24, December.
    8. Y lmaz BAYAR & Cuneyt KILIC, 2014. "Effects of Oil and Natural Gas Prices on Industrial Production in the Eurozone Member Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 238-247.
    9. Peter Uchenna Okoye & Chinwendu Christopher Mbakwe & Evelyn Ndifreke Igbo, 2018. "Modeling the Construction Sector and Oil Prices toward the Growth of the Nigerian Economy: An Econometric Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, March.
    10. Nagmi M. Moftah Aimer, 2016. "The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on the Economic Sectors of Libya," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 6(12), pages 13-24, December.
    11. Ibrahim Halil Eksi & Mehmet Senturk & H. Semih Yildirim, 2012. "Sensitivity of Stock Market Indices to Oil Prices: Evidence from Manufacturing Sub-Sectors in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(4), pages 463-474, September.
    12. Mohd Shahidan Shaari & Tan Lee Pei & Hafizah Abdul Rahim, 2013. "Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Economic Sectors in Malaysia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 360-366.
    13. Yeliz Yalcin & Cengiz Arikan & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu, 2015. "Determining the asymmetric effects of oil price changes on macroeconomic variables: a case study of Turkey," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(4), pages 737-746, November.
    14. Çatik, A. Nazif & Önder, Özlem, 2013. "An asymmetric analysis of the relationship between oil prices and output: The case of Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 884-892.
    15. Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan, 2021. "Are the responses of output and investment to oil price shocks asymmetric?: The case of an oil-importing small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2501-2516, November.

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