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Scrambled experts: team handicaps and win probabilities for golf scrambles

Author

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  • Grasman Scott E.

    (Industrial and Systems Engineering, Kate Gleason College of Engineering, Rochester Institute of Technology, 81 Lomb Memorial Drive, Rochester, New York 14623, USA)

  • Thomas Barrett W.

    (Department of Management Sciences, Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, W272 Pappajohn Business Building, Iowa City, IA 52242-1000, USA)

Abstract

Golf is a popular form of competition, and it is traditional for amateur players to use a handicapping system when competing against one another in order to make the competition more interesting and perhaps more equitable. Additionally, the scramble, where each player plays a ball and the better/best of the shots is selected and played (by all players) until the ball is holed, is a popular format for team competition. However, an official handicapping system for scrambles has yet to be developed. This paper develops a model that could provide a rationale for assigning handicaps to multi-person scramble teams with the objective of yielding equitable matches, i.e., equal win probabilities for both/all teams. Probabilistic analysis is used to derive the distributions of team scores and winning probabilities, which can then be use as a mechanism for optimally assigning teams. This paper relaxes many strict assumptions of previous work; results show that equal handicaps are not the best measure of fairness and that player inconsistency may be desirable in scramble formats.

Suggested Citation

  • Grasman Scott E. & Thomas Barrett W., 2013. "Scrambled experts: team handicaps and win probabilities for golf scrambles," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 217-227, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:9:y:2013:i:3:p:217-227:n:1
    DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2012-0024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hurley William J, 2007. "The Ryder Cup: Are Balanced Four-Ball Pairings Optimal?," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 3(4), pages 1-20, October.
    2. Swartz Tim B, 2009. "A New Handicapping System for Golf," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 1-22, May.
    3. Ball Michael O & Halper Russell, 2009. "Scramble Teams for the Pinehurst Terrapin Classic," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 1-25, May.
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