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Growth of Government Expenditure in Bangladesh: An Empirical Enquiry into the Validity of Wagner's Law

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Author Info

  • Kalam Mohammad Abul

    ()
    (Government of Bangladesh)

  • Aziz Nusrate

    ()
    (University of Chittagong & University of Birmingham)

Abstract

The study empirically investigates ‘Wagner's law,' the relationship between ‘social progress' and ‘growth of state activity' in an economy, using Bangladesh data from 1976 to 2007 in a bivariate as well as a trivariate framework incorporating ‘population size' as a third variable. The estimated results provide evidence in favour of Wagner's law for Bangladesh in both the short-run and long-run. There is a long-run cointegration relation among real government expenditure, real GDP and the size of population where government expenditure is positively tied with the real GDP (1.14), per capita GDP (1.51) and population size (0.21). Both the real GDP and GDP per capita Granger cause total government expenditure to change. Population size also comes up as a significant stimulus for public spending to grow in both the long-run and short-run.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by De Gruyter in its journal Global Economy Journal.

Volume (Year): 9 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 1-20

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Handle: RePEc:bpj:glecon:v:9:y:2009:i:2:n:5

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Cited by:
  1. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2010. "Wagner's law and Italian disaggregated public spending: some empirical evidences," MPRA Paper 26662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Kojo Menyah & Yemane Wolde-Rufael, 2012. "Wagner'S Law Revisited: A Note From South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 80(2), pages 200-208, 06.
  3. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2012. "Wagner versus Keynes: Public spending and national income in Italy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 890-905.
  4. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2010. "Wagner's law and augmented Wagner's law in EU-27. A time-series analysis on stationarity, cointegration and causality," MPRA Paper 26668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Cosimo Magazzino, 2012. "The Nexus between Disaggregated Public Spending and GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2560-2579.

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