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Private Equity Premium and Aggregate Uncertainty in a Model of Uninsurable Investment Risk

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  • Covas Francisco

    (Federal Reserve Board)

  • Fujita Shigeru

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)

Abstract

This paper studies the quantitative properties of a general equilibrium model where a continuum of heterogeneous entrepreneurs are subject to aggregate as well as idiosyncratic risks under the presence of a borrowing constraint. The calibrated model matches the highly skewed wealth and income distributions of entrepreneurs. We provide an accurate solution to the model despite significant nonlinearities that are absent in the economy with uninsurable labor income risk. The model is capable of generating the average private equity premium of roughly 3% and a low risk-free rate. The model also produces procyclicality of the risk-free rate and countercyclicality of the private equity premium. The countercyclicality of the equity premium is largely driven by tightening (loosening) of financing constraints during recessions (booms).

Suggested Citation

  • Covas Francisco & Fujita Shigeru, 2011. "Private Equity Premium and Aggregate Uncertainty in a Model of Uninsurable Investment Risk," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-36, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:11:y:2011:i:1:n:20
    DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.2216
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    Cited by:

    1. Maik Heinemann & Alexander Wulff, 2015. "Idiosyncratic Risk, Borrowing Constraints and Financial Integration - A Discussion of Ambiguous Results," Working Papers 2015019, Berlin Doctoral Program in Economics and Management Science (BDPEMS).
    2. Marco Bassetto & Marco Cagetti & Mariacristina De Nardi, 2015. "Credit Crunches and Credit Allocation in a Model of Entrepreneurship," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 18(1), pages 53-76, January.
    3. Stefan Niemann & Paul Pichler, 2017. "Collateral, Liquidity and Debt Sustainability," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(604), pages 2093-2126, September.
    4. Wulff, Alexander & Heinemann, Maik, 2015. "Idiosyncratic Risk, Borrowing Constraints and Financial Integration - A Discussion of Ambiguous Results," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113165, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Katya Kartashova, 2014. "Private Equity Premium Puzzle Revisited," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(10), pages 3297-3334, October.

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