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Does Increased Abortion Lead to Lower Crime? Evaluating the Relationship between Crime, Abortion, and Fertility Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Anindya Sen (University of Waterloo)
Donohue and Levitt (2001) attribute over half of the decline in U.S. crime rates during the 1990s to abortion legalization. This paper conducts similar research by exploiting cross-province time-series variation in Canadian data. The use of Canadian data allows me to separate the effects of teenage abortions from general abortion rates. This distinction is important, as more than a quarter of the drop in violent crime can be attributed to the increase in teenage abortions that occurred after legalization. These results suggest that lower crime rates from abortion legalization are due to better timing of births rather than lower cohort size. They are further substantiated by OLS estimates, which imply that the drop in teenage fertility rates during the 1960s and 1970s is responsible for more than half of the decline in violent crime rates witnessed during the 1990s.
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Article provided by Berkeley Electronic Press in its journal The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy .
Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejeap:v:7:y:2007:i:1:n:48Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap
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Keywords: crime ; abortion ; fertility ; Find related papers by JEL classification: K0 - Law and Economics - - General J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Ted Joyce, 2001.
"Did Legalized Abortion Lower Crime? ,"
NBER Working Papers
8319, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Levine, Phillip B & Staiger, Douglas, 2004.
"Abortion Policy and Fertility Outcomes: The Eastern European Experience ,"
Journal of Law & Economics ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 47(1), pages 223-43, April.
Levitt, Steven D, 1997.
"Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 270-90, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Raphael, Steven & Winter-Ember, Rudolf, 2001.
"Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime ,"
Journal of Law & Economics ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(1), pages 259-83, April.
Other versions:
Steven Raphael & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, 1998.
"Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
98-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] Raphael, Steven & Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf, 1999.
"Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2129, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Steven Raphael & RUDOLF WINTER-EBMER, 1998.
"Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime ,"
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series
1998-19, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
[Downloadable!] V. Joseph Hotz & Seth G. Sanders & Susan Williams McElroy, 1999.
"Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment ,"
NBER Working Papers
7397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Listokin, Yair, 2003.
"Does More Crime Mean More Prisoners? An Instrumental Variables Approach ,"
Journal of Law & Economics ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 46(1), pages 181-206, April.
V. Joseph Hotz & Susan Williams McElroy & Seth G. Sanders, 1999.
"Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment ,"
JCPR Working Papers
157, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
Jonathan Gruber & Phillip Levine & Douglas Staiger, 1997.
"Abortion Legalization and Child Living Circumstances: Who is the "Marginal Child?" ,"
NBER Working Papers
6034, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Kane, Thomas J & Staiger, Douglas, 1996.
"Teen Motherhood and Abortion Access ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 111(2), pages 467-506, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hunt, Jennifer, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Jennifer Hunt, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
NBER Working Papers
9632, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jennifer Hunt, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
343, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!] Hunt, Jennifer, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
757, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] Claudia Goldin & Lawrence F. Katz, 2002.
"The Power of the Pill: Oral Contraceptives and Women's Career and Marriage Decisions ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(4), pages 730-770, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: John J. Donohue III & Steven D. Levitt, 2003.
"Further Evidence that Legalized Abortion Lowered Crime: A Reply to Joyce ,"
NBER Working Papers
9532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Kevin Milligan, 2005.
"Subsidizing the Stork: New Evidence on Tax Incentives and Fertility ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 87(3), pages 539-555, 06.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Steven D. Levitt, 1998.
"Juvenile Crime and Punishment ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(6), pages 1156-1185, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Ted Joyce, 2004.
"Further Tests of Abortion and Crime ,"
NBER Working Papers
10564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cristian Pop-Eleches, 2006.
"The Impact of an Abortion Ban on Socioeconomic Outcomes of Children: Evidence from Romania ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 114(4), pages 744-773, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jeff Grogger & Michael Willis, 2000.
"The Emergence Of Crack Cocaine And The Rise In Urban Crime Rates ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 82(4), pages 519-529, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
John J. Donohue & Steven D. Levitt, 2001.
"The Impact Of Legalized Abortion On Crime ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 116(2), pages 379-420, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Jennifer Hunt, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
343, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Jennifer Hunt, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
NBER Working Papers
9632, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hunt, Jennifer, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
757, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!] Hunt, Jennifer, 2003.
"Teen Births Keep American Crime High ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) John J. Donohue III & Steven D. Levitt, 2003.
"Further Evidence that Legalized Abortion Lowered Crime: A Reply to Joyce ,"
NBER Working Papers
9532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Theodore J. Joyce, 2006.
"Further Tests of Abortion and Crime: A Response to Donohue and Levitt (2001,2004, 2006) ,"
NBER Working Papers
12607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Rob Simmons & Leo Kahane & David Paton, 2005.
"The abortion-crime link: evidence from England and Wales ,"
Working Papers
003054, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
[Downloadable!]
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