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Numerical fiscal rules in practice

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  • Vasilios Manesiotis

    ()
    (Bank of Greece)

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    Abstract

    Despite four year of unprecedented fiscal consolidation efforts, Greece does not yet have (national) numerical fiscal rules, which could help contain primary expenditure and anchor expectations about public finances in Greece. This paper examines practical aspects associated with the implementation of such rules. Issues including what categories of expenditure should be subject to the rule, how inflation is dealt with, how expenditure categories which fluctuate significantly across the cycle are treated and the extent to which the rule should apply to future years are all examined. Additionally, there is a discussion of how revenue projections and the targeted fiscal balance are used to determine the expenditure ceiling. Finally, the paper analyses how “indirect rules”, such as the “debt brake”, can operate as effective expenditure rules.

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    File URL: http://www.bankofgreece.gr/BogEkdoseis/econbull201106.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department in its journal Economic Bulletin.

    Volume (Year): (2011)
    Issue (Month): 35 (June)
    Pages: 7-13

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    Handle: RePEc:bog:econbl:y:2011:i:35:p:7-13

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    Web page: http://www.bankofgreece.gr
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    Keywords: numerical fiscal rules;

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    1. Antonella Foglia, 2009. "Stress Testing Credit Risk: A Survey of Authorities' Aproaches," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(3), pages 9-45, September.
    2. George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
    3. Jarrow, Robert A. & Turnbull, Stuart M., 2000. "The intersection of market and credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 271-299, January.
    4. Drehmann, Mathias & Sorensen, Steffen & Stringa, Marco, 2010. "The integrated impact of credit and interest rate risk on banks: A dynamic framework and stress testing application," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 713-729, April.
    5. Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen , Juha & Kuusi, Tero, 2007. "GDP at risk in a DSGE model: an application to banking sector stress testing," Research Discussion Papers 26/2007, Bank of Finland.
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    Cited by:
    1. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2012. "The Size and structure of uninsured employment," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department, issue 37, pages 23-41, December.
    2. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2012. "Employment and worker flows during the financial crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department, issue 36, pages 31-41, April.
    3. Petros M. Migiakis, 2012. "Reviewing the proposals for common bond issuances by the euro-area sovereign under a long-term perspective," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department, issue 37, pages 43-54, December.
    4. Zacharias Bragoudakis & Dimitrios Sideris, 2012. "Do retail gasoline prices adjust symmetrically to crude oil price changes? the case of the Greek oil market," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, Economic Research Department, issue 37, pages 7-21, December.

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