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Intra‐industry Adjustment to Import Competition: Theory and Application to the German Clothing Industry

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  • Horst Raff
  • Joachim Wagner

Abstract

This paper uses an oligopoly model with heterogeneous firms to examine how an industry adjusts to rising import competition. The model predicts that in the short run the least efficient firms in the industry become inactive, surviving firms face a fall in output, mark‐ups and profits, and average industry productivity increases due to a selection effect. These pro‐competitive effects of import penetration on the domestic industry disappear in the long run. The predictions for the short run are confirmed in an empirical study of the German clothing industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Horst Raff & Joachim Wagner, 2010. "Intra‐industry Adjustment to Import Competition: Theory and Application to the German Clothing Industry," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(8), pages 1006-1022, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:33:y:2010:i:8:p:1006-1022
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2010.01310.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Cadogan, Godfrey, 2010. "A Trade Policy Perspective On Import Quotas And The Substitution Effect," MPRA Paper 25862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Braakmann, Nils & Wagner, Joachim, 2009. "Labor Market Adjustments after a Large Import Shock: Evidence from the German Clothing Industry and the Multi-Fibre Arrangement," IZA Discussion Papers 4633, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Görg, Holger & Hanley, Aoife, 2017. "Globalization: Implications for firms in Germany," Working Papers 04/2017, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    4. Toubal, Farid & Bombarda, Pamela & McCann, Fergal, 2010. "Import Competition and Exit in Business Services Sectors," CEPR Discussion Papers 8095, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. repec:got:cegedp:133 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Doan, Tinh & Stevens, Philip, 2012. "Evolution of competition in Vietnam industries over the recent economic transition," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-24.
    7. Matteo Bugamelli & Silvia Fabiani & Enrico Sette, "undated". "The age of the dragon: Chinese competition and the pricing behavior of the Italian firms," Working Papers 4, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    8. Abbassi, Abdessalem & Tamini, Lota D. & Dakhlaoui, Ahlem, 2015. "Import quota allocation between regions under Cournot competition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 484-490.
    9. Eike Berner & Laura Birg & Dominik Boddin, 2017. "Retailers and Consumers: The Pass-through of Import Price Changes," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(7), pages 1314-1344, July.
    10. Julian Emami Namini & Giovanni Facchini & Ricardo A. López, 2015. "A model of firm heterogeneity in factor intensities and international trade," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(4), pages 1456-1480, November.
    11. Priyanka Singh Bhadouria & N.M.P. Verma, 2012. "Intra-industry trade in textile industry: the case of India," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 199-212.

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    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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