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Political Instability and Economic Growth: UK Time Series Evidence

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  • Asteriou, Dimitrios
  • Price, Simon

Abstract

This paper tests for the influence of political instability on UK economic growth between 1961 and 1997. We construct six variables that quantify political instability and examine the effect on growth. The results suggest that there is a strong link. GARCH-M models reveal negative effects of instability on growth and positive effects on growth uncertainty. Uncertainty in itself does not affect growth. Copyright 2001 by Scottish Economic Society.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Scottish Economic Society in its journal Scottish Journal of Political Economy.

Volume (Year): 48 (2001)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 383-99

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Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:48:y:2001:i:4:p:383-99

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Cited by:
  1. Campos, Nauro F & Karanasos, Menelaos G. & Tan, Bin, 2008. "Two to Tangle: Financial Development, Political Instability and Economic Growth in Argentina (1896–2000)," IZA Discussion Papers 3752, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  2. Campos, Nauro F & Karanasos, Menelaos G., 2007. "Growth, Volatility and Political Instability: Non-Linear Time-Series Evidence for Argentina, 1896–2000," IZA Discussion Papers 3087, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Fabrizio Carmignani, 2003. "Political Instability, Uncertainty and Economics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 1-54, February.
  4. Klomp, Jeroen & de Haan, Jakob, 2009. "Political institutions and economic volatility," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 311-326, September.
  5. Mariusz Próchniak, 2013. "To What Extent Is the Institutional Environment Responsible for Worldwide Differences in Economic Development," Contemporary Economics, University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, vol. 7(3), October.
  6. Andreas, Brunhart, 2011. "Stock market’s reactions to revelation of tax evasion: an empirical assessment," MPRA Paper 42047, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2012.
  7. Hartwell , Christopher A., 2014. "The impact of institutional volatility on financial volatility in transition economies: a GARCH family approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  8. Demir, Firat, 2006. "Volatility of short term capital flows and socio-political instability in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey," MPRA Paper 1943, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Nauro Campos & Menelaos Karanasos, 2007. "Growth, Volatility & Political Instability: Non Linear Time Series Evidence for Argentina 1896-2000," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp891, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.

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