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Political Instability and Economic Growth: UK Time Series Evidence

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Author Info
Asteriou, Dimitrios
Price, Simon

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Abstract

This paper tests for the influence of political instability on UK economic growth between 1961 and 1997. We construct six variables that quantify political instability and examine the effect on growth. The results suggest that there is a strong link. GARCH-M models reveal negative effects of instability on growth and positive effects on growth uncertainty. Uncertainty in itself does not affect growth. Copyright 2001 by Scottish Economic Society.

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Article provided by Scottish Economic Society in its journal Scottish Journal of Political Economy.

Volume (Year): 48 (2001)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 383-99
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Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:48:y:2001:i:4:p:383-99

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  1. Demir, Firat, 2007. "Volatility of short term capital flows and socio-political instability in developing countries: A review," MPRA Paper 1943, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
  2. Nauro Campos & Menelaos Karanasos, 2007. "Growth, Volatility & Political Instability: Non Linear Time Series Evidence for Argentina 1896-2000," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp891, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
  3. Nauro F. Campos & Menelaos G. Karanasos, 2007. "Growth, Volatility and Political Instability: Non-Linear Time-Series Evidence for Argentina, 1896-2000," IZA Discussion Papers 3087, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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