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Gibson's Paradox and Policy Regimes: A Comparison of the Experience in the US, UK and Italy

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  • Muscatelli, Vito Antonio
  • Spinelli, Franco

Abstract

This paper compares the behavior of long-term interest rates and prices in Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States, and seeks to shed light into what has become known as the 'Gibson paradox.' The authors compare the various theoretical explanations for the observed positive correlation of interest rates and prices in the United States and the United Kingdom. Using both regression and frequency domain techniques, they demonstrate that there is little evidence for the occurrence of the paradox in the case of Italy. The key conclusion of the paper is that the comparative evidence from these three countries supports a gold standard interpretation of the paradox. Copyright 1996 by Scottish Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Muscatelli, Vito Antonio & Spinelli, Franco, 1996. "Gibson's Paradox and Policy Regimes: A Comparison of the Experience in the US, UK and Italy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 43(4), pages 468-492, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:43:y:1996:i:4:p:468-92
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    Cited by:

    1. Seçkin Kabak & Tuðçe Dallý, 2023. "Gibson Paradox: Panel Data Analysis on ASEAN-T Countries," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 15(1), pages 12-27, March.
    2. Dr Ferda Halicioglou, 2004. "The Gibson Paradox: An Empirical Investigation for Turkey," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 111-120.
    3. Muscatelli, Vito Antonio & Spinelli, Franco, 2000. "Fisher, Barro, and the Italian Interest Rate, 1845-93," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 149-169, March.
    4. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Perlman, Morris, 2014. "Was the Gibson Paradox for real? A wicksellian study of the relationship between interest rates and prices," Economic History Working Papers 56896, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    5. Muscatelli, V Anton, 1998. "Political Consensus, Uncertain Preferences, and Central Bank Independence," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(3), pages 412-430, July.
    6. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Perlman, Morris, 2014. "Was the Gibson Paradox for real? A Wicksellian study of the relationship between interest rates and prices," Financial History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 139-163, August.

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