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Variable Probability of Realignment in a Target Zone

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Author Info
Tristani, Oreste

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Abstract

The target zone model presented here encompasses a realignment probability that increases as the fundamental deviates from the center of the zone. The analysis is carried out for cases where the fundamental follows either a Brownian motion or an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The simplest version of the model yields tractable results, which prove to be robust when its most restrictive assumption is relaxed. The solution obtained is dubbed the steeper S, in accordance with its most relevant feature. Copyright 1994 by The editors of the Scandinavian Journal of Economics.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Scandinavian Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 96 (1994)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1-14
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Handle: RePEc:bla:scandj:v:96:y:1994:i:1:p:1-14

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  1. Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Balázs Égert & Ronald MacDonald, 2005. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Target Zones: A Bumpy Road Towards A Honeymoon Some Evidence from the ERM, ERM2 and Selected New EU Member States," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp771, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Marie Bessec, 2000. "Mean-Reversion versus PPP Adjustment: The Two Regimes of Exchange Rate Dynamics Under the EMS, 1979-1998," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1305, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  3. Christian Bauer & Paul De Grauwe & Stefan Reitz, 2007. "Exchange Rates Dynamics in a Target Zone – A Heterogeneous Expectations Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Lucjan Orlowski & Krzyzstof Rybinski, 2005. "Implications of ERM2 for Poland’s Monetary Policy," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp802, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. M. Isabel Campos & Zenón Jiménez-Ridruejo, . "Were the Peseta Exchange Rate Crises Forecastable During Target Zone Period?," Working Papers on International Economics and Finance 00-07, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  6. M. Isabel Campos & Zenón Jiménez-Ridruejo, 2003. "Were the peseta exchange rate crises forecastable during target zone period?," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(9), pages 1087-1099, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Campos, M. Isabel & Herrera, Julio & Jimenez-Ridruejo, Zenon, 1999. "Censured Exchange Rates in a Discrete Time Target Zones Model: The Spanish Peseta/Deutsche Mark Case," ERSA conference papers ersa99pa183, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
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