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The Changing Efficiency Of African Stock Markets

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Author Info
KEITH JEFFERIS
GRAHAM SMITH

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Abstract

This paper classifies formal African stock markets into four categories and discuses the principal characteristics of the seven markets covered in this study: South Africa, Egypt, Morocco, Nigeria, Zimbabwe, Mauritius and Kenya. Using a GARCH approach with time-varying parameters, a test of evolving efficiency (TEE) is implemented for periods starting in the early 1990s and ending in June 2001. This test detects changes in weak form efficiency through time. The TEE finds that the Johannesburg stock market is weak form efficient throughout the period, and three stock markets become weak form efficient towards the end of the period: Egypt and Morocco from 1999 and Nigeria from early 2001. These contrast with the Kenya and Zimbabwe stock markets which show no tendency towards weak form efficiency and the Mauritius market which displays a slow tendency to eliminate inefficiency. The paper relates weak form efficiency to stock market turnover, capitalisation and institutional characteristics of markets. Copyright 2005 Economic Society of South Africa.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2005.00004.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economic Society of South Africa in its journal South African Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 73 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (03)
Pages: 54-67
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Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:73:y:2005:i:1:p:54-67

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  1. Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009. "Modelling stock returns in Africa’s emerging equity markets," Discussion Paper Series 2009_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Jan 2009. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Walid Abdmoulah, . "Testing the Evolving Efficiency of 11 Arab Stock Markets," API-Working Paper Series 0907, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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