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Effects of Exchange Rate Regime on IMF Program Participation

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Author Info
Robert Trudel
Abstract

This article investigates the effect of a domestic policy choice, the exchange rate regime, on countries' interaction with an international institution, their participation in International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending agreements. I hypothesize that the effect of the level of international reserves on a country's probability of participation in an IMF program depends on the exchange rate regime. A low level of international reserves threatens unfavorable economic and political outcomes only in countries that maintain a fixed exchange rate regime. The level of reserves may thus be a significant determinant of participation in IMF programs only for countries that maintain a fixed exchange rate regime. I use a dynamic univariate probit model of IMF program participation to assess empirically the effect of reserves in countries that maintain fixed, intermediate, and floating exchange rate regimes. The empirical results support my hypothesis: reserves have a significant effect only in countries that maintain a fixed exchange rate. Copyright 2005 by The Policy Studies Organization.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/j.1541-1338.2005.00181.x/enhancedabs
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Policy Studies Organization in its journal Review of Policy Research.

Volume (Year): 22 (2005)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 919-936
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Handle: RePEc:bla:revpol:v:22:y:2005:i:6:p:919-936

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  1. Axel Dreher & Jan-Egbert Sturm & James Raymond Vreeland, 2006. "Does Membership on the UN Security Council Influence IMF Decisions? Evidence from Panel Data," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Juan Zalduendo & Manuela Goretti & Bikas Joshi & Atish R. Ghosh & Alun H. Thomas, 2007. "Modeling Aggregate Use of Fund Resources--Analytical Approaches and Medium-Term Projections," IMF Working Papers 07/70, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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