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Growth, Real Exchange Rates and Trade Protectionism since the Financial Crisis

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  • Georgios Georgiadis
  • Johannes Gräb

Abstract

Existing evidence suggests that protectionist activity since the financial crisis has been muted, raising the question whether the historically well-documented relationship between growth, real exchange rates and trade protectionism has broken down. This paper re-visits this relationship for the time period since 2009. To this end, we use a novel and comprehensive dataset which considers a wide range of trade policies stretching beyond the traditionally considered tariff and trade defence measures. We find that the specter of protectionism has not been banished: Countries continue to pursue more trade-restrictive policies when they experience recessions and/or when their competitiveness deteriorates through an appreciation of the real exchange rate; and this finding holds for a wide array of contemporary trade policies, including JEL Classification: F13, F14
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  • Georgios Georgiadis & Johannes Gräb, 2016. "Growth, Real Exchange Rates and Trade Protectionism since the Financial Crisis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 1050-1080, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:24:y:2016:i:5:p:1050-1080
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/roie.12247
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    8. Hanna Armelius & Carl-Johan Belfrage & Hanna Stenbacka, 2014. "The Mystery of the Missing Growth in World Trade after the Global Financial Crisis," EcoMod2014 6933, EcoMod.
    9. Inae Heo & Bo‐Young Choi, 2023. "The global financial crisis and protectionism: Substitution from tariffs to non‐tariff measures," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 880-894, October.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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